Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000183 0.000203 0.000225 0.000250 0.000278 0.000309 0.000345
2025-03-16 0.000139 0.000167 0.000199 0.000239 0.000289 0.000349 0.000427
2025-03-23 0.000118 0.000149 0.000188 0.000240 0.000310 0.000399 0.000525
2025-03-30 0.000106 0.000140 0.000185 0.000249 0.000338 0.000461 0.000646
2025-04-06 0.000093 0.000127 0.000174 0.000243 0.000346 0.000494 0.000731
2025-04-13 0.000080 0.000113 0.000159 0.000231 0.000341 0.000508 0.000786
2025-04-20 0.000073 0.000106 0.000155 0.000232 0.000356 0.000551 0.000893
2025-04-27 0.000069 0.000103 0.000153 0.000237 0.000377 0.000607 0.001030
2025-05-04 0.000063 0.000097 0.000148 0.000235 0.000386 0.000643 0.001137
2025-05-11 0.000059 0.000092 0.000145 0.000237 0.000400 0.000690 0.001271
2025-05-18 0.000055 0.000088 0.000140 0.000235 0.000409 0.000727 0.001391
2025-05-25 0.000052 0.000084 0.000137 0.000236 0.000421 0.000772 0.001535
2025-06-01 0.000048 0.000080 0.000133 0.000235 0.000431 0.000817 0.001689
2025-06-08 0.000044 0.000073 0.000125 0.000225 0.000424 0.000826 0.001770
2025-06-15 0.000041 0.000071 0.000123 0.000226 0.000438 0.000882 0.001970
2025-06-22 0.000040 0.000070 0.000124 0.000234 0.000467 0.000974 0.002273
2025-06-29 0.000037 0.000066 0.000119 0.000229 0.000468 0.001004 0.002428
2025-07-06 0.000034 0.000061 0.000111 0.000217 0.000454 0.000997 0.002485
2025-07-13 0.000032 0.000059 0.000109 0.000218 0.000467 0.001057 0.002736
2025-07-20 0.000031 0.000058 0.000109 0.000223 0.000491 0.001144 0.003086
2025-07-27 0.000029 0.000055 0.000106 0.000221 0.000498 0.001192 0.003329
2025-08-03 0.000028 0.000054 0.000105 0.000223 0.000513 0.001263 0.003662
2025-08-10 0.000027 0.000052 0.000102 0.000221 0.000520 0.001314 0.003943